The large matter of price: Why did those accomplish Hezbollah exactly in this instant their military assault on the Israeli soldiers? Of Uri Avnery.

(kreuz.net) a Immigrantin from Russia, throws itself to full despair before their house in Israel, which had been met of a rocket.

It walk in broken Hebrew „my son, my son! “, because she believes that he is dead. It was actually injured only and brought in the hospital.

Lebanese children, at the whole body injures, in of Beirut hospitals. The funeral of the victims of a rocket in Haifa.

The ruins of a completely destroyed city quarter in Beirut. Inhabitants from the north of Israel flee before the Katjuschas to the south. Inhabitants southern Lebanon flee before the Israeli Air Force northward.

Death, destruction. Inconceivable human suffering.

The abscheulichste sight is the following. In order to solve the problem, George Bush sits in playful tendency on its chair in Petersburg - over him bent his loyaler servant Tony Blair:

„See, what those is to do to have, to bring the Syrians there that they convince the Hezbollah to stop with this shit. Then conclusion thereby would be finite. “

Thus the most powerful one of the world spoke - and the seven dwarves, „the large ones of the world “spoke Amen.

Syria? Only few months ago it was nevertheless Bush - the same Bush -, who the Lebaneses forced to hunt the Syrians from their country.

Now does it want that they intervene in Lebanon and provide for order?

When the Lebanese civil war was before 31 years on its high point, the Syrians - particularly of the Lebanese Christians invited - sent their army into Lebanon.

To that time the Secretary of Defense at that time Schimon Peres (82) kindled and its allied ones in Israel a medium hysteria. They required an Israeli ultimatum to the Syrians, so that would not achieve the latter Israeli border.

The acting Prime Minister Jitzchak Rabin († 1995) said at that time to me that this was a pure nonsense, because it would be the best for Israel that the Syrian army would set up itself along the border.

Only that could guarantee the peace - the same peace, which prevails at the border of Israel to Syria.

But Rabin gave way to the medium hysteria. It stopped the Syrians far away of the Israeli border. Thus developed a vacuum, which was filled 1982 of the PLO.

Ariel Scharon drove the PLO out, and the vacuum filled with the Hezbollah.

Which occurred there afterwards, would not have happened, if we had permitted the Syrians from the outset to occupy the border. The Syrians are careful. They do not act carelessly.

What thought Hassan Nasrallah - the leader the Hezbollah -, when he decided to cross the border and accomplish an Guerilla action, which caused the present/immediate Hexensabbat? Why did he do it? Why at this time?

Everyone regards Nasrallah as an intelligent person. It is also deliberated.

For years it put on a large supply of rockets of all kinds, in order to manufacture a kind terror balance.

He knew that the Israeli army waited only for the opportunity to destroy its weapons. Nevertheless it has a provocation supplied, which offered the perfect pretext to the Israeli government, Lebanon to attack - with the full agreement of the world community.

Why?

Possibly he had been requested of Iran or of Syria, which supply the rockets to him with, to do something in order to divert the US printing from them. Actually the recent crisis diverted the attention of the Iranian efforts within the nuclear range. It seems also that Bush's attitude changed opposite Syria.

But Hezbollah boss Nasrallah is far to be a puppet Iran or Syria. It leads a genuine Lebanese movement and calculates its own balance of for and against.

If it would have been inquired of Iran or of Syria to do something what with its goals does not agree, then it would have deflected it.

Perhaps it acted out of internal-political reasons.

The political system Lebanon in the past years became more stable. It became more difficult to justify the military wing the Hezbollah.

A new armed incident could have helped - such strategies are not also in Israel unknown, above all not before budget debates.

But all this does not explain the time. Nasrallah could one month before or one month later have acted - one year before or later.

It must have given a more urgent reason, it of convinced going exactly now into such an adventure.

There was this reason actually: Palestine.

Two weeks ago ago the Israeli army began a war against the population of the Gaza Strip. The pretext was an Guerilla action also there, with which an Israeli soldier was taken prisoner.

The Israeli government seized the opportunity and implemented a plan prepared for a long time: to break the resistance will of the Palestinians and to destroy the again selected Palestinian government, that is dominated of the Hamas. And naturally also in order to stop the Qassam rockets.

The operation in the Gaza Strip is particularly brutal - and so it looks also on the screens in all world.

Terrible pictures from the Gaza Strip appear daily and once per hour in the Arab media.

Dead one, injured one, destruction. Wassermangel, missing medicines for the wounded ones and patients. Whole families killed. Children cry in Agonie. Mothers cry. Buildings collapse in itself.

The Arab regime, which are dependent all on the USA, do not hurry to assistance.

Since they all are threatened of Islamic opposition movements, they look with some malicious joy on what happens with Hamas.

But 100 million Arab from the Atlantic to Persian Gulf watch, excite themselves, zürnen its government and cry after a leader, that besieged and hurries heroful brothers in Palestine to assistance.

Before fifty years wrote Gamal of Abdel wet († 1970) - at that time the new Egyptian leader - that the Arab world waits for a hero.

Wetter decided to be this hero. For many years it was the Idol of the Arab world, the symbol for the Arab unit.

But Israel used an opportunity and fell it into the six-day war.

Afterwards ascended Saddam Hussein's star on the Arab horizon. It dared it to place themselves against the powerful America and shoot rockets on Israel. Thus he became the hero of the Arab masses. But it was struck destroying and in humiliating way of the Americans, who were spurred of Israel.

One week ago Nasrallah was faced with the same temptation.

The Arab world cried after a hero and it reacted: Here am I. It provoked Israel and indirectly also the USA and the whole western world.

Nasrallah began the attack without allied one and knew that neither Iran nor Syria would take the risk on itself to help him.

Perhaps it is away-torn like Abd el wet and Saddam before it.

Perhaps it underestimated the force of the counter attack, which it expected. Perhaps he really believed that Israel under the weight of its Katjuscha rockets would break down - as the Israeli army believed, which would break Israeli destruction the Palestinian people in the Gaza Strip and the Shiites in Lebanon.

One is clear: Nasrallah would not have begun this force spiral, if the Palestinians had not asked him for assistance.

Out coolly computation or from true moral indignation or because of both - Nasrallah hurried to the rescue besieged Palestine.

One the Israeli reaction could have expected.

For years the army commanders wait on an opportunity to destroy the rocket arsenal the Hezbollah and destroy this organization or disarm them at least and to carry them very far away from the Israeli border to.

They tried this on the only one them well-known way: by extensive destruction, so that the Lebanese population rises and the government forces to fulfill of Israel demands.

Are these goals achieved?

Hezbollah is the genuine agency of the Shiite community, which constitutes about 40% of the Lebanese population. Together with the other Muslims they form the majority in the country.

Thought that the weak Lebanese government - that includes also the Hezbollah - able would be to liquidate this organization is ridiculous.

The Israeli government requires, that is to deploy Lebanese army at the border along. This became a mantra now. It witnesses of total ignorance.

The Shiites hold important positions in the Lebanese army. There is at all no chance that they will begin a brother war with the army against the Hezbollah.

Abroad another thought accepts shape: an international troop should be set up along the Israeli-Lebanese border. The Israeli government is strict against it.

A really international troop - not like the unfortunate UNIFIL, which would prevent the Israeli army for decades there actual to do what wants it.

In addition: If it should be set up there without agreement the Hezbollah, a new guerrilla war would begin against it. Then would succeed to such a troop - without real motivation -, what did not create the powerful Israeli army?

The recent war with his dead ones and destruction waves will lead at the most to another fragile armistice.

The Israeli army will proclaim and will maintain the victory, it changed „the rules “. Nasrallah - or its successors - will state, against one of the most powerful military machines of the world and wrote a further bright chapter rose their small organization over heroism in the annals of Arab and Muslim history.

It will not give a correct solution, because the root of the evil is not concerned: the Palestinian problem.

Many years ago I heard one of the speeches in the radio of Abd el wet, which he held before a large crowd in Egypt.

Wetter spread over the achievements of the Egyptian revolution, when cries came from the quantity: „Palestine oh, Gamal! “Thereupon wet forgot to talk over its begun topic and spoke with increasing enthusiasm over Palestine.

Since changed not much at that time. If the Palestinian thing is mentioned, it throws its shade over to everything else. Exactly this happened still.

Everyone, which wishes itself a solution, must know: There is no solution, without the solution of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

And it gives no solution of the Palestinian problem without negotiations with the selected government, to a government, which the Hamas manages.

If someone once and for all this shit - as Bush formulated so delicate - to terminate wants, then goes it only in such a way.


Uri Avnery (83) became in the North-Rhine/Westphalian Beckum as Helmut Ostermann born and is an Israeli journalist and peace activist.

Hypatia: Hezbollah

Terrorism is fundamental „the power of the powerless ones “. Who denies the right to sovereigns in imperialistic manners a state such as Iran, a country possessing atomic weapons to become, does not have notion, of whom Europe in this regard actually threatens danger. Already 1982 spoke Dr. Dan servant, Israeli dissidents, to which university Mainz and others over it are addressed fact that the atomic weapons, which Israel has not on its Arab neighbours, but on Europe. After the slogan: if it us go down let, we carry you forward!

blueberry: Iran invasion

In addition is Iran our friend, we always good business with the Persern made.

Correctly, where other peoples have still another consciousness for ethics and, there the Germans their purse and business relations have moral.

Mean, in Lebanon take place straight terrorism prevention. There terrorist breeding takes place, how in Iraq!

Which finds in Lebanon instead of, is long beforehand planned with security and agreed upon with the USA (perhaps also with the EU-3). The kidnapping of the soldiers was probably only the cause which one needed around the action would drive through to be able.
Ahmedinedschad said already openly, it in case of an attack on Iran the Hezbollah for attacks on Israel would use. There nobody exactly white which for weapons in the chambers of the Mullahs so before itself mould, one had to shoot the Hezbollah as disabled as possible of the border away-gotten and.
If you want to be already so naive regarding Iran and nuclear weapons, then you scolded their sense of reality (you over sowas order in such a way) at least regarding the USA, EU-3 and Israel.
I practically not possibly consider it personal the fact that the USA or to an atomically armed Iran can resign itself Israel. Oil price or ago, if Iran should not give in, then it will be attacked with security.

Abu: @ blueberry: Do you still more terror want?

Of course one does not co-operate with Iran as with Switzerland. Also economically not. If Switzerland would build an atom bomb, one „procured “to murmur and the head scratch. Even if Iran has only possibly in ten years plus an atom bomb, then one is now already extremely „anxious “and sees already times in the weapon chamber after…

Individual human rights and international law belong together, are however two few boot. The invasion of the USA into Iraq was contrary to international law and happened under the flag of the human rights. And now? Which is the freeing of Saddam worth, if the normal life does not function, if one each instant of an explosion torn up or can be kidnapped or massakriert. One calls that the devil with the Beelzebub drives out.

Fortunately we are not yet so far that we must discuss „the good old “atomic Erstschlagsrecht. But do not think in reverse why: Israel attacked evenly its neighbour. An aggressive state thus. It has atom bombs. In each newspaper lets itself read of scenarios to bombard Iran. After your logic nobody should hesitate to give to Israel the first impact now!

They cannot exclude terrorism preventively. Also not, by attacking the Hisbolla. We experience it nevertheless straight. Mean, in Lebanon take place straight terrorism prevention. There terrorist breeding takes place, how in Iraq!

Uwe Schmidt: Iran invasion

To attack thus now Iran - would be the end of the world economy: then the petroleum price would rise from at present 80$ the barrel to 200. There we leave thus rather times the fingers of it. In addition is Iran our friend, we always good business with the Persern made.

blueberry: @ Abu

I am the opinion, one should with Iran co-operate in such a way, as if it would be Switzerland.

Doesn't one do that? I am also against it that one Switzerland atomically armed. One should disarm, not rig! And before one sets up statements how: Each state of the world has the right to build or buy all only conceivable weapons., should one stress that each humans in the world the right has on meals and drinking, on education and liberty of opinion!

As long as Iran does not attack, no the right has to attack it and if, only times only the attacking.

It is really extremely philanthropically it Israel after a nuclear attack still the right grants even a rocket to fire to be allowed! Very nobly!

After they developed a scenario, I may perhaps also do that?!
What would have if suddenly high-gone into New York or into the citizens of Berlin Ubahn a dirty bomb? What if the Hezbollah a Katjuscha rocket a little atomically contaminates? If the Wahabiten is in Saudi Arabia of the opinion that not only the Shiites (they for disbelieving ones hold and hate), but also them a right has on atomic weapons? 80% all assassin of 11.9 came from Saudi Arabia!
What if is their naivety wrong?
What are we to then do? A Rosenkranz pray? Us with the atomic disaster compensate? Our cross on us take? That seems to be the standard method from Abu to: in the case of doubt: take your cross on you!
Amen!

Abu: @ blueberry: Wrongly,

I am still much „more naively “than you believe (you need to read my Posting only somewhat more intelligently):

As long as Iran sees itself bound to the contract, can the countries, which are also in the boat, if you keep the contract, with Iran negotiate. If the thing is worth which to them, then they should make attractive offers for it.

I hold for wasting of time and money. I am the opinion, one should with Iran co-operate in such a way, as if it would be Switzerland.

And if Iran actually -- which I do not believe -- Nuclear weapons develops -- which takes 10, 15 years --, then he has stop also which. Well and?

What do you mean, what happens then? The Iranis did not verblödete in such a way Fundis that they fire their arsenal from an illusion idea on Israel.

But who knows: Perhaps the two negotiate then at same eye level over disarmament of nuclear weapons. If both adhere to, can which thereby rauskommen, see east west confrontation.

As long as Iran does not attack, no the right has to attack it and if, only times only the attacking. In addition we have the UN-Charter. That is valid international law. Who holds for „naív “, it must be able to be asked for whom he holds himself. For a self-appointed sheriff in the wild west? Sheriff Blueberry?